Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Jenner
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.2% (901)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
68.2% (22)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
49.8% (219)
-0.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kuraly
Home
56.7% (693)
51.7% (603)
Away
52.7% (693)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Jenner
Kuraly
P1
57.1%
50.9%
P2
54.1%
49.5%
P3
53.0%
49.1%
OT
61.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%