Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Jenner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Jenner
Kuraly
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Jenner
Kuraly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
3
Jenner
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (6,094)
51.5% (5,067)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,146)
56.0% (100)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (990)
44.0% (1,063)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,105).
Jenner shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kuraly
Home
54.5% (3,991)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
53.6% (4,239)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Jenner
Kuraly
P1
53.7%
50.8%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
49.9%
OT
54.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |