Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.1%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Jenner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Jenner
Monahan
Last 9: Jenner 4-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Jenner
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
54.5% (231)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.2% (67)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
52.2% (23)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Jenner
Monahan
Home
56.7% (693)
53.5% (144)
Away
52.7% (693)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Jenner
Monahan
P1
57.1%
52.5%
P2
54.1%
50.9%
P3
53.0%
60.8%
OT
61.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |