Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Jenner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Jenner
Monahan
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
14
Jenner
Monahan
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
6
Jenner
Monahan
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
51.1% (11,356)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
53.7% (2,580)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
46.0% (766)
+2.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Jenner
Monahan
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Jenner
Monahan
P1
53.7%
50.9%
P2
53.5%
51.7%
P3
54.4%
51.0%
OT
54.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 03:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |