Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 55.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Jenner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Jenner
Stamkos
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
7
Jenner
Stamkos
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
1
Jenner
Stamkos
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
56.5% (246)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
61.4% (101)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
53.6% (69)
-2.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jenner is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Jenner shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stamkos
Home
57.8% (249)
54.7% (170)
Away
52.9% (297)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Jenner
Stamkos
P1
51.8%
60.9%
P2
58.7%
59.2%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
OT
37.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |