Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Jenner
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
56.1% (342)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
53.3% (92)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
62.5% (8)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (143)
53.4% (208)
Away
49.2% (124)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Jenner
Stamkos
P1
51.7%
55.6%
P2
40.5%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%