Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Johnson 45.7% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 72.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Jenner
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jenner
Johnson
Last 5: Jenner 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Jenner
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
44.6% (285)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
46.7% (60)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
16.7% (6)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Jenner
Johnson
Home
52.9% (512)
50.8% (179)
Away
55.4% (601)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Jenner
Johnson
P1
55.0%
41.3%
P2
54.5%
41.8%
P3
53.6%
49.6%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |