Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 60.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 82.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 75.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Jenner
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Jenner
Johnson
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
8
Jenner
Johnson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
5
Jenner
Johnson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
54.6% (885)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
42.3% (707)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Jenner
Johnson
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Jenner
Johnson
P1
53.7%
50.1%
P2
53.5%
50.6%
P3
54.4%
48.4%
OT
54.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |