Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.3%). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Jenner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jenner
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
55.3% (897)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
61.1% (113)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
50.8% (132)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Jenner
Karlsson
Home
56.7% (693)
58.6% (560)
Away
52.7% (693)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Jenner
Karlsson
P1
57.1%
55.8%
P2
54.1%
55.6%
P3
53.0%
55.7%
OT
61.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | OT | 02:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |