Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Jenner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Jenner
Karlsson
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Jenner
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
2
Jenner
Karlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
56.3% (739)
-1.8%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
58.6% (181)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
47.2% (53)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Jenner
Karlsson
Home
52.9% (512)
56.5% (462)
Away
55.4% (601)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Jenner
Karlsson
P1
55.0%
57.1%
P2
54.5%
55.2%
P3
53.6%
56.7%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |