Scouting Report
David Perron holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Perron 49.3% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 55.4%
Defensive zone
Perron 51.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 50.9%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Marchand
Perron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
57.7% (26)
-13.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
12.5% (8)
+29.2%
On power play, Marchand has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Marchand is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Marchand shoots left. Perron is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Marchand
Perron
Home
46.2% (26)
63.6% (22)
Away
41.4% (29)
16.7% (12)
By Period
Marchand
Perron
P1
44.8%
41.7%
P2
30.8%
45.5%
P3
55.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
30.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.6%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
47.1%