Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.8% vs 38.7%). Marchand wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Perron 40.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 60.8%
Defensive zone
Marchand 58.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 51.5%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Marchand
Perron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchand
Perron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
1
0
Marchand
Perron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
37.3% (400)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
44.5% (110)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
33.3% (12)
-1.5%
On power play, Marchand has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Marchand is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Marchand shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Marchand
Perron
Home
39.9% (363)
42.4% (271)
Away
37.6% (322)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Marchand
Perron
P1
41.3%
42.2%
P2
35.0%
34.1%
P3
39.2%
39.8%
OT
37.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
37.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |