Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Crouse 45.6% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 50.7%
Defensive zone
Crouse 56.7%
Neutral zone
Marchand 62.1%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Marchand
Crouse
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
41.7% (60)
-12.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
33.3% (9)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
38.5% (13)
-13.5%
On power play, Marchand has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Crouse is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Marchand
Crouse
Home
43.3% (30)
43.1% (51)
Away
33.3% (27)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Marchand
Crouse
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
45.0%
40.6%
P3
13.3%
21.4%
Final 5 min
25.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
40.2%