Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.8% vs 39.5%). Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Crouse 41.3% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 56.6%
Defensive zone
Crouse 57.0%
Neutral zone
Marchand 53.9%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Marchand
Crouse
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
39.3% (384)
-2.7%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
41.3% (46)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
38.9% (54)
-7.1%
On power play, Marchand has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Crouse is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Marchand
Crouse
Home
39.9% (363)
40.9% (254)
Away
37.6% (322)
37.8% (230)
By Period
Marchand
Crouse
P1
41.3%
44.6%
P2
35.0%
34.5%
P3
39.2%
36.8%
Final 5 min
37.9%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Crouse
40.0%▲
37.0%
39.5%