Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 86.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 66.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Richardson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Richardson
Pavelski
Last 10: Richardson 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
3
Richardson
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Richardson
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Richardson
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
53.2% (690)
+1.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
61.5% (174)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
55.3% (47)
-13.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Richardson is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Richardson shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Richardson
Pavelski
Home
53.2% (485)
56.1% (421)
Away
51.1% (558)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Richardson
Pavelski
P1
53.9%
57.1%
P2
50.6%
55.8%
P3
51.5%
52.5%
OT
71.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |