Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 51.1%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Richardson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Richardson
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
52.5% (570)
+7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
54.5% (145)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
44.4% (36)
-13.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Richardson
Pavelski
Home
60.2% (88)
55.0% (391)
Away
57.0% (151)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Richardson
Pavelski
P1
63.8%
50.8%
P2
59.1%
55.0%
P3
50.7%
52.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |