Brad Richardson vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.2%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 60-59 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 73.1%
Defensive zone
Richardson 73.8%
Neutral zone
Richardson 54.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Richardson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
60
(119 meetings)
59
60
Richardson
Pavelski
Last 10: Richardson 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
30
Richardson
Pavelski
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
24
15
Richardson
Pavelski
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
21
15
Richardson
Pavelski
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
53.6% (8,791)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
58.2% (2,122)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
50.9% (1,138)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Richardson
Pavelski
Home
53.6% (3,164)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Richardson
Pavelski
P1
52.3%
53.5%
P2
54.2%
55.2%
P3
53.5%
53.9%
OT
61.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |