Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Hertl 51.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 84.1%
Neutral zone
Richardson 69.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Richardson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richardson
Hertl
Last 6: Richardson 4-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Richardson
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
51.7% (869)
+4.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
55.7% (176)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
44.9% (138)
+4.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Richardson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Richardson shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hertl
Home
55.3% (590)
51.8% (583)
Away
54.4% (461)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Richardson
Hertl
P1
56.2%
52.5%
P2
56.4%
50.9%
P3
51.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |