Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Richardson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Richardson
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Richardson
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
51.6% (1,084)
+8.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
44.1% (136)
-12.8%
On power play, Richardson has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hertl
Home
60.2% (88)
55.2% (696)
Away
57.0% (151)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Richardson
Hertl
P1
63.8%
55.4%
P2
59.1%
54.8%
P3
50.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |