Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 94.9%
Neutral zone
Lundell 71.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lundell
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lundell
Tkachuk
Last 5: Lundell 1-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Lundell
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Tkachuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Lundell
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
45.4% (183)
+0.4%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
53.2% (250)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
100.0% (2)
-67.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +67.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tkachuk
Home
46.3% (434)
51.1% (233)
Away
42.4% (314)
49.0% (202)
By Period
Lundell
Tkachuk
P1
46.6%
42.9%
P2
39.9%
52.2%
P3
47.1%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |