Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 79.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Jenner
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jenner
Tkachuk
Last 5: Jenner 0-5 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Jenner
Tkachuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Jenner
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
47.9% (192)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
57.8% (187)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
52.9% (512)
56.0% (175)
Away
55.4% (601)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
55.0%
55.0%
P2
54.5%
51.9%
P3
53.6%
47.3%
OT
52.6%
77.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |