Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Howden 48.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 87.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tkachuk
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tkachuk
Howden
Last 6: Tkachuk 2-4 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
1
Tkachuk
Howden
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Tkachuk
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
47.0% (417)
-0.1%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
52.4% (21)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
53.0% (83)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Tkachuk shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Howden
Home
47.6% (168)
44.8% (268)
Away
44.4% (144)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Tkachuk
Howden
P1
49.1%
51.6%
P2
42.9%
43.7%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Brett Howden |