Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Howden 52.3% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 83.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Tkachuk
Howden
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
53.4% (459)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
40.0% (5)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Howden
Home
50.0% (140)
48.8% (258)
Away
52.2% (207)
56.6% (258)
By Period
Tkachuk
Howden
P1
54.3%
54.0%
P2
50.0%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%