Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.5% vs 58.7%). Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Strome 58.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 57.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 68.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
56.2% (856)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
66.4% (298)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.7% (12)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.4% (121)
55.7% (627)
Away
67.3% (113)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
57.1%
61.6%
P2
60.0%
54.5%
P3
58.3%
60.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |