Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Strome 51.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 64.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 83.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
50.1% (6,337)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
58.4% (1,519)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
45.6% (68)
-0.6%
On power play, Strome has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.7% (1,428)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
49.4%
50.4%
P2
51.3%
52.1%
P3
49.3%
52.3%
OT
57.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |