Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Miller 59.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
61.5% (540)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
65.6% (122)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.7% (65)
+52.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
50.4% (121)
62.1% (372)
Away
67.3% (113)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
57.1%
58.9%
P2
60.0%
63.9%
P3
58.3%
59.8%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |