Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Miller 59.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 70.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 54.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
61.9% (459)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
66.0% (103)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.2% (52)
+53.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
52.9% (87)
62.5% (280)
Away
61.7% (60)
60.2% (334)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
61.0%
59.2%
P2
59.5%
65.6%
P3
52.4%
59.1%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
63.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |