Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Roslovic 45.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 66.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 71.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Last 5: Tkachuk 4-1 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
45.8% (729)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
42.9% (105)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
38.2% (55)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Roslovic has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Home
49.9% (389)
45.4% (447)
Away
46.8% (376)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roslovic
P1
44.4%
43.2%
P2
51.8%
44.7%
P3
47.8%
47.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |