Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Roslovic 45.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.9%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 69.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 79.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Last 6: Tkachuk 4-2 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
44.9% (2,997)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
48.1% (339)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
34.3% (105)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roslovic
Home
50.7% (1,428)
44.0% (1,737)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
45.8% (1,704)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roslovic
P1
49.4%
45.5%
P2
51.3%
44.6%
P3
49.3%
44.9%
OT
57.1%
31.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |