Brady Tkachuk vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 55.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
0
Tkachuk
Stenlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
12
Tkachuk
Stenlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
55.3% (2,703)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
52.6% (116)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.6% (919)
-5.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Home
50.7% (1,428)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stenlund
P1
49.4%
56.4%
P2
51.3%
53.3%
P3
49.3%
52.8%
OT
57.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |