Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 96.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 78.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Tkachuk
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Tkachuk
Couture
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
8
0
Tkachuk
Couture
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
5
Tkachuk
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,510)
48.8% (8,919)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.7% (1,254)
54.6% (624)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
39.8% (992)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,581).
Tkachuk shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Couture
Home
50.9% (1,394)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
48.6% (1,390)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Tkachuk
Couture
P1
49.3%
47.9%
P2
51.0%
47.9%
P3
48.5%
49.2%
OT
54.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
49.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |