Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Couture 47.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 91.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tkachuk
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tkachuk
Couture
Last 9: Tkachuk 5-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
4
Tkachuk
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
49.2% (1,083)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
56.7% (60)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
35.4% (206)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Couture
Home
49.9% (389)
49.6% (713)
Away
46.8% (376)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Tkachuk
Couture
P1
44.4%
47.2%
P2
51.8%
45.0%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |