Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Couture 48.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 85.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Tkachuk
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tkachuk
Couture
Last 5: Tkachuk 4-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Tkachuk
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
48.7% (986)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
58.5% (94)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.1% (195)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Couture
Home
51.1% (233)
47.2% (625)
Away
49.0% (202)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Tkachuk
Couture
P1
42.9%
46.8%
P2
52.2%
49.8%
P3
53.7%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |