Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Glendening 55.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 68.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 75.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Tkachuk
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tkachuk
Glendening
Last 8: Tkachuk 2-6 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
5
Tkachuk
Glendening
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
58.5% (509)
-11.6%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
51.9% (27)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
49.4% (164)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Glendening
Home
47.6% (168)
53.8% (342)
Away
44.4% (144)
58.4% (358)
By Period
Tkachuk
Glendening
P1
49.1%
55.7%
P2
42.9%
52.8%
P3
46.5%
59.5%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
46.2%
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2020 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |