Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Glendening 57.8% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 89.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 57.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Tkachuk
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tkachuk
Glendening
Last 5: Tkachuk 2-3 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Tkachuk
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Tkachuk
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
60.5% (428)
-13.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
66.7% (6)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
55.2% (174)
-42.7%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Glendening is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Glendening
Home
49.9% (389)
59.0% (293)
Away
46.8% (376)
59.0% (315)
By Period
Tkachuk
Glendening
P1
44.4%
61.5%
P2
51.8%
59.1%
P3
47.8%
56.3%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
66.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |