Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Glendening 56.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 92.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 63.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Tkachuk
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Glendening
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Tkachuk
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
58.6% (703)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
57.9% (19)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.7% (159)
+0.3%
On even strength, Glendening has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Glendening
Home
50.0% (140)
54.3% (468)
Away
52.2% (207)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Tkachuk
Glendening
P1
54.3%
58.2%
P2
50.0%
57.6%
P3
49.5%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |