Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Bennett 48.3% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Tkachuk
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
46.4% (780)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
57.3% (150)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (46)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bennett
Home
50.4% (121)
50.3% (519)
Away
67.3% (113)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bennett
P1
57.1%
47.5%
P2
60.0%
46.6%
P3
58.3%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |