Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Bennett 45.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 84.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Tkachuk
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Tkachuk
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
44.7% (772)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
56.9% (58)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (28)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bennett
Home
56.0% (175)
48.5% (447)
Away
49.8% (205)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bennett
P1
55.0%
47.1%
P2
51.9%
45.8%
P3
47.3%
42.9%
OT
77.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |