Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.2%
Defensive zone
Bennett 82.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 50.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Tkachuk
Bennett
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
7
Tkachuk
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
46.8% (5,683)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
53.7% (555)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.8% (256)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bennett
Home
50.7% (1,428)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bennett
P1
49.4%
48.0%
P2
51.3%
46.5%
P3
49.3%
46.9%
OT
57.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |