Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Blueger 50.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 89.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Tkachuk
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tkachuk
Blueger
Last 7: Tkachuk 6-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Blueger
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Tkachuk
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
53.3% (745)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
45.5% (11)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.7% (259)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Blueger
Home
50.0% (140)
53.4% (504)
Away
52.2% (207)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Tkachuk
Blueger
P1
54.3%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
53.0%
P3
49.5%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |