Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Blueger 50.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 85.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 58.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Tkachuk
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Tkachuk
Blueger
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
0
Tkachuk
Blueger
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
4
Tkachuk
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
52.3% (3,540)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
50.0% (76)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.6% (1,100)
+2.4%
On even strength, Blueger has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Blueger
Home
50.7% (1,428)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Tkachuk
Blueger
P1
49.4%
49.2%
P2
51.3%
52.3%
P3
49.3%
48.5%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |