Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Boyd 45.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.9%
Defensive zone
Boyd 91.4%
Neutral zone
Boyd 52.1%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Tkachuk
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tkachuk
Boyd
Last 7: Tkachuk 3-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
4
Tkachuk
Boyd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
45.9% (784)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
43.2% (81)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.3% (62)
+59.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Boyd
Home
51.1% (233)
45.1% (501)
Away
49.0% (202)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Tkachuk
Boyd
P1
42.9%
45.9%
P2
52.2%
44.6%
P3
53.7%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |