Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Boyd 44.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.4%
Defensive zone
Boyd 79.6%
Neutral zone
Boyd 74.4%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Tkachuk
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Tkachuk
Boyd
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
9
Tkachuk
Boyd
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
44.4% (2,186)
+4.6%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
46.5% (256)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
35.6% (208)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Boyd
Home
50.7% (1,428)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Tkachuk
Boyd
P1
49.4%
41.7%
P2
51.3%
46.2%
P3
49.3%
44.0%
OT
57.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |