Brady Tkachuk vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 78.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 55.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Tkachuk
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
58.6% (597)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
57.9% (57)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.9% (52)
-1.9%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (140)
59.6% (344)
Away
52.2% (207)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Tkachuk
Karlsson
P1
54.3%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
62.1%
P3
49.5%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |