Brady Tkachuk vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.5% vs 57.6%). Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 85.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tkachuk
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
58.5% (135)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
80.0% (5)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Karlsson
Home
50.4% (121)
63.7% (91)
Away
67.3% (113)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Tkachuk
Karlsson
P1
57.1%
54.4%
P2
60.0%
66.7%
P3
58.3%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%