Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.7% vs Drouin 48.8% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Saad 52.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 59.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 53.5%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Saad
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
48.3% (58)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Saad has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Saad is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Saad shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Saad
Drouin
Home
50.0% (8)
45.8% (24)
Away
36.4% (11)
47.6% (42)
By Period
Saad
Drouin
P1
25.0%
46.2%
P2
60.0%
43.5%
P3
20.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.1%
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
47.0%