Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.4% vs Drouin 50.8% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 61.8%
Defensive zone
Saad 64.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 53.2%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Saad
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (21)
51.7% (60)
-4.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.0% (25)
-18.7%
On power play, Drouin has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Saad is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Saad shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Saad
Drouin
Home
45.0% (20)
57.9% (57)
Away
37.5% (8)
39.3% (28)
By Period
Saad
Drouin
P1
41.7%
61.8%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
28.6%
36.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.8%