Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.4%). Saad wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 50.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 65.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Saad
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Saad
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Saad
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
41.3% (3,431)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
47.3% (655)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
47.4% (135)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Saad is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Saad shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Saad
Schmaltz
Home
42.5% (367)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
41.0% (346)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Saad
Schmaltz
P1
41.7%
41.3%
P2
41.2%
42.8%
P3
43.1%
43.1%
OT
36.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
38.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |