Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.2%). Saad wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 64.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Saad
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Saad
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Saad
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
41.1% (3,218)
-0.5%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
47.3% (637)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
47.2% (125)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Saad is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Saad shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,877).
Home / Away
Saad
Schmaltz
Home
42.5% (367)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
41.1% (343)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Saad
Schmaltz
P1
41.9%
41.1%
P2
41.2%
42.6%
P3
43.1%
43.0%
OT
36.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
38.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |