Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.4% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 65.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Saad
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (21)
38.5% (309)
+9.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.2% (79)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
25.0% (12)
+0.0%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Saad is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Saad shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Saad
Schmaltz
Home
45.0% (20)
38.0% (184)
Away
37.5% (8)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Saad
Schmaltz
P1
41.7%
40.3%
P2
55.6%
39.9%
P3
28.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%