Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Point 50.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 88.6%
Defensive zone
Point 56.0%
Neutral zone
Point 75.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Lowry
Point
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lowry
Point
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
5
Lowry
Point
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Point
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Point
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Point
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
50.7% (728)
+7.9%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
53.3% (122)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
16.7% (6)
+37.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lowry
Point
Home
61.0% (602)
50.7% (424)
Away
53.7% (514)
50.9% (432)
By Period
Lowry
Point
P1
57.3%
45.5%
P2
58.1%
55.3%
P3
57.4%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |